Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.534808 3.034664 3.594439 4.265878 5.047382 5.926222 6.987216
2025-11-30 1.774386 2.395858 3.166982 4.186430 5.490054 7.091675 9.197563
2025-12-07 1.266381 1.895876 2.747809 3.968746 5.654046 7.875793 10.998912
2025-12-14 0.985778 1.613349 2.527998 3.930599 5.992571 8.870861 13.139076
2025-12-21 0.792939 1.406163 2.360889 3.914551 6.326548 9.861856 15.346294
2025-12-28 0.699976 1.330412 2.368983 4.146079 7.033321 11.439117 18.530676
2026-01-04 0.604381 1.227760 2.311423 4.255319 7.550062 12.767744 21.453874
2026-01-11 0.537804 1.161524 2.300317 4.432101 8.184621 14.325930 24.857200
2026-01-18 0.459585 1.056215 2.200679 4.436030 8.520502 15.423659 27.607244
2026-01-25 0.377455 0.924985 2.029775 4.282632 8.556417 16.014915 29.559337
2026-02-01 0.310058 0.809677 1.869105 4.121792 8.552317 16.524731 31.399227
2026-02-08 0.268558 0.742994 1.795064 4.117265 8.832771 17.549323 34.200820
2026-02-15 0.233003 0.683659 1.729188 4.124883 9.146383 18.678028 37.313182
2026-02-22 0.199209 0.620823 1.644979 4.081845 9.354203 19.629109 40.182136
2026-03-01 0.161356 0.537433 1.498049 3.878966 9.208724 19.891383 41.784684
2026-03-08 0.138843 0.490743 1.430488 3.844588 9.411122 20.842488 44.763750
2026-03-15 0.120618 0.451778 1.375046 3.829762 9.652018 21.886572 47.996632
2026-03-22 0.114882 0.450282 1.417206 4.057104 10.455609 24.138918 53.779994
2026-03-29 0.104886 0.432321 1.411713 4.164337 10.994910 25.881965 58.653690
2026-04-05 0.098170 0.423805 1.431141 4.337771 11.705199 28.038108 64.513841
2026-04-12 0.086790 0.395489 1.388423 4.341633 12.011217 29.347151 68.700676
2026-04-19 0.072711 0.352603 1.293877 4.191167 11.924022 29.786703 71.081093
2026-04-26 0.060619 0.313250 1.201991 4.033410 11.799067 30.127644 73.267029